Blog Posts Tagged With Budget Neutrality

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Reactions to the Trump Tax Plan

As noted in yesterday’s summary, the basic outline of the Trump Administration’s tax plan is largely similar to the Trump campaign proposals, with fewer details and with one notable shift toward the House Blueprint’s approach – the move toward territoriality. The table below shows how this latest plan compares to the House Blueprint and the Trump 2016 campaign plan.

In the press conference to announce the “broad-strokes” plan, both Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and National Economic Council Director Cohn said that they were in agreement with members of Congress over the four driving goals of tax reform – grow the economy and create millions of jobs, simplify the tax code, provide tax relief to American families, especially middle-income families and lower the business tax rate from one of the highest in the world to one of the lowest. Continue Reading

Tax Reform and Revenue Raisers

One of the biggest challenges facing lawmakers in the current tax reform process is finding a way to reduce headline tax rates in a revenue neutral way. Some revenue raisers (like eliminating itemized deductions) would raise significant revenue and simplify the tax code. Other revenue raisers come at the cost of increased complexity, at least in the short term (e.g., implementing a federal VAT or a new carbon tax). Closer inspection of ideas on the table reveals that politically popular reforms are not necessarily the largest revenue raisers. For example, there seems to be bipartisan support for taxing carried interest as ordinary income (more on that here), a relatively small revenue raiser. Continue Reading

DBCFT Not Dead Yet

As expected, President Trump’s first speech before a joint session of Congress last night did not include any new details on the Administration’s plans for tax reform, but his remarks did include some references to tax reform, including a reference to a border adjustment tax for imported goods. Does that signal an upcoming endorsement of the House Republican’s destination based cash flow tax (DBCFT)? That remains to be seen, but it is fair to say that the DBCFT is not dead yet, and could still turn out to be the least worst alternative, given its revenue raising potential.

Some lawmakers, including Republicans in the Senate, have recently been distancing themselves from the DBCFT and momentum for the proposal seems to have stalled. Continue Reading

Tax Rates and Horse Trading

The House Blueprint and the President’s plan currently represent the primary visions for tax reform. Both would reduce tax rates for individuals and corporations (the House Blueprint caps the top individual rate at 33% and the corporate rate at 20%, while the President’s plan maxes out at 33% for individuals and 15% for corporations). Click here for a full comparison of the two plans. Although the administration’s position on revenue neutrality has not been entirely clear, the President’s nominee to head the Treasury Department, Steve Mnuchin, stated that the President’s tax plan would not increase the deficit after taking into account macroeconomic feedback and both House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI) and House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady (R-TX) have recently reiterated their commitment to pass a revenue neutral tax reform bill by the August recess. Continue Reading

Setting the Stage for Comprehensive Tax Reform

Tax reform will be one of the top priorities for the 115th Congress. Hopes for pursuing tax reform to a successful conclusion are high, given one-party control of the government (and exuberant campaign promises). Following the 2016 election, Davis Polk laid out the background and context in which tax reform measures will be considered, with links to summaries of the leading proposals and details on the politics of tax reform. Although life in Washington has moved forward since this memo was published, the key points and players remain the same. Read on for things to watch.

Setting the Stage for Comprehensive Tax Reform, December 2, 2016

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